Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.479033e-03 0.001652 0.001827 0.002017 0.002216 0.002419 0.002639
2024-12-29 1.219831e-03 0.001469 0.001730 0.002020 0.002334 0.002660 0.003024
2025-01-05 1.026127e-03 0.001332 0.001662 0.002041 0.002459 0.002902 0.003404
2025-01-12 8.792367e-04 0.001230 0.001621 0.002081 0.002599 0.003157 0.003798
2025-01-19 6.982908e-04 0.001070 0.001502 0.002023 0.002622 0.003279 0.004044
2025-01-26 5.702894e-04 0.000960 0.001428 0.002009 0.002689 0.003445 0.004334
2025-02-02 4.623074e-04 0.000861 0.001360 0.001994 0.002750 0.003601 0.004612
2025-02-09 4.163414e-04 0.000838 0.001381 0.002083 0.002929 0.003889 0.005038
2025-02-16 3.434539e-04 0.000769 0.001338 0.002089 0.003008 0.004062 0.005331
2025-02-23 2.528338e-04 0.000662 0.001236 0.002016 0.002987 0.004114 0.005484
2025-03-02 1.810376e-04 0.000569 0.001146 0.001952 0.002973 0.004170 0.005638
2025-03-09 1.306296e-04 0.000501 0.001084 0.001918 0.002992 0.004263 0.005833
2025-03-16 7.650711e-05 0.000420 0.001010 0.001888 0.003041 0.004425 0.006147
2025-03-23 4.467906e-05 0.000369 0.000978 0.001913 0.003162 0.004676 0.006573
2025-03-30 2.276997e-05 0.000326 0.000954 0.001948 0.003296 0.004946 0.007026
2025-04-06 9.523262e-06 0.000293 0.000942 0.001997 0.003450 0.005241 0.007512
2025-04-13 1.514531e-07 0.000229 0.000864 0.001948 0.003471 0.005372 0.007801
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000186 0.000816 0.001938 0.003543 0.005565 0.008165
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000148 0.000771 0.001927 0.003611 0.005751 0.008519
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000141 0.000790 0.002017 0.003815 0.006109 0.009083
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000114 0.000759 0.002025 0.003906 0.006324 0.009472
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000076 0.000683 0.001954 0.003884 0.006393 0.009680
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000047 0.000617 0.001891 0.003870 0.006469 0.009897